2026 Week 8
14 games · 0 forecast · 0 at or above the 4% edge threshold. Probabilities are the median of k samples; edge is model minus de-vigged market, in percentage points.
No forecasts recorded yet Every game below is listed with its market price so the slate still reads, but the model has not run for this week. Rows appear as soon as predict.py logs them - the schedule is T1 Tuesday noon, T2 Friday 18:00, T3 at kickoff minus 75 minutes.
blind p(home) — not run
informed p(home) — not run
market p(home) 63.1% current line
line GB -3.5 total 47.5
edge vs market n/a no forecast
no forecast recorded for this game yet · final CAR 19 – GB 27
blind p(home) — not run
informed p(home) — not run
market p(home) 74.1% current line
line DAL -7.0 total 54.5
edge vs market n/a no forecast
no forecast recorded for this game yet · final ARI 33 – DAL 30
blind p(home) — not run
informed p(home) — not run
market p(home) 54.3% current line
line TB -2.5 total 42.5
edge vs market n/a no forecast
no forecast recorded for this game yet · final ATL 0 – TB 16
blind p(home) — not run
informed p(home) — not run
market p(home) 59.3% current line
line BUF -3.0 total 54.5
edge vs market n/a no forecast
no forecast recorded for this game yet · final BAL 10 – BUF 36
blind p(home) — not run
informed p(home) — not run
market p(home) 63.7% current line
line PIT -3.5 total 38.5
edge vs market n/a no forecast
no forecast recorded for this game yet · final CLE 6 – PIT 27
blind p(home) — not run
informed p(home) — not run
market p(home) 79.6% current line
line JAX -10.0 total 45.5
edge vs market n/a no forecast
no forecast recorded for this game yet · final IND 7 – JAX 42
blind p(home) — not run
informed p(home) — not run
market p(home) 53.2% current line
line NYJ -1.5 total 46.5
edge vs market n/a no forecast
no forecast recorded for this game yet · final LV 38 – NYJ 33
blind p(home) — not run
informed p(home) — not run
market p(home) 60.4% current line
line DET -3.0 total 46.5
edge vs market n/a no forecast
no forecast recorded for this game yet · final MIN 15 – DET 19
blind p(home) — not run
informed p(home) — not run
market p(home) 86.3% current line
line CIN -13.5 total 45.5
edge vs market n/a no forecast
no forecast recorded for this game yet · final TEN 36 – CIN 43
blind p(home) — not run
informed p(home) — not run
market p(home) 71.0% current line
line LA -6.5 total 46.5
edge vs market n/a no forecast
no forecast recorded for this game yet · final LAC 9 – LA 24
blind p(home) — not run
informed p(home) — not run
market p(home) 50.4% current line
line DEN -1.5 total 41.5
edge vs market n/a no forecast
no forecast recorded for this game yet · final KC 24 – DEN 28
blind p(home) — not run
informed p(home) — not run
market p(home) 25.6% current line
line NE -7.0 total 41.5
edge vs market n/a no forecast
no forecast recorded for this game yet · final NE 24 – MIA 19
blind p(home) — not run
informed p(home) — not run
market p(home) 70.5% current line
line WAS -6.0 total 40.5
edge vs market n/a no forecast
no forecast recorded for this game yet · final PHI 10 – WAS 27
blind p(home) — not run
informed p(home) — not run
market p(home) 60.9% current line
line SEA -3.0 total 46.5
edge vs market n/a no forecast
no forecast recorded for this game yet
Edge above 20% is flagged for review rather than shown as a play: a gap that large is a hallucinated injury or a misread roster far more often than it is an edge.
Generated 2026-11-02 16:52 UTC · 2026-11-02 11:52 ET.
These are machine-generated forecasts published for statistical guidance and public record. Calibration is still being established - the model has not yet been shown to beat the closing line, and one season cannot establish that it does. Nothing here is betting advice.